The register

Calibration.

No entries have resolved. The first resolution date is 2027-04-30.

Brier = (p − outcome)², 0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip on everything. Every resolved entry counts; void entries are listed and excluded; a superseded original is excluded inside its correction window and shown struck through. Nothing is removed.

EntriesGradedOpenTrueFalseVoidBrier mean
000000

By stated probability

BucketnMean pObservedBrier
0.0–0.20
0.2–0.40
0.4–0.60
0.6–0.80
0.8–1.00

By sector

SectorResolvedOpenBrier
Space00
Defense00
Energy00
Cross-sector00

Empty by design until the first resolution date. The table exists now so the method is on record before any score is.